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Parma vs Torino Prediction: Can the Crociati Shock the Granata at Tardini?

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29.10.2025
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Parma vs Torino Prediction: Can the Crociati Shock the Granata at Tardini?
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Parma welcome Torino to Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday evening looking for the victory that could drag them out of the bottom three, while the Granata aim to tighten their grip on a top-half finish. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 CET.

Current form
Parma have taken only one point from their last five Serie A outings, a run that includes heavy defeats to Atalanta (0–5) and Milan (1–4). Fabio Pecchia’s side still creates chances—xG of 1.42 per 90 over that stretch—but conversion has collapsed to 8 %.
Torino, by contrast, have lost just once since mid-February (2–1 at Juventus) and arrive on a three-match unbeaten streak. Ivan Jurić’s 3-4-2-1 is clicking: 1.81 xG per 90 in the last six, with Duván Zapata rediscovering his power game (four goals in five).

Team news

Parma vs Torino Prediction: Can the Crociati Shock the Granata at Tardini?

Parma remain without suspended centre-back Botteghin; Hernani is a doubt after a thigh strain. Expect a flat 4-3-3 with Man on the right flank and Mihaila cutting inside to support lone striker Bonny.
Torino have almost a full deck. Only left-back Ricardo Rodríguez (knee) is ruled out, so Mergim Vojvoda will shift to the left with Zima slotting in on the right. Ricci and Ilić form the double pivot, allowing Lukic to push higher and feed Zapata.

Key duel
Zapata vs. Parma’s makeshift central pairing of Osorio and Valenti. The Colombian has won 58 % of his aerial contests this season; Parma’s duo combine for just 46 %. If Torino feed early diagonal balls, the home side will be pinned deep.

Numbers that matter
– Torino have scored first in eight of their last ten away fixtures.
– Parma have conceded at least twice in seven straight league matches.
– Under Jurić, Torino average 1.97 points per game against bottom-six sides.

Parma’s lifeline
Set-pieces. The Crociati have scored seven goals from dead-ball situations—only Milan and Juventus have more. Torino, meanwhile, concede 0.28 xG per match from set plays, the seventh-worst mark in the division. A well-worked routine from a Vásquez inswinger could level the playing field.

Prediction
Parma’s urgency will make the opening 20 minutes spicy, but Torino’s superior structure and Zapata’s physicality should tell. Expect the Granata to absorb, strike on the transition and edge a high-scoring encounter.

Scoreline: Parma 1–2 Torino

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