The 2024-25 Greek Super League is shaping up to be the most open title contest in a decade. Olympiacos may still be the bookmakers’ favorite, but their summer exodus of key loanees and the managerial switch from Carlos Carvalhal to youth-focused Míchel have created a rare power vacuum. PAOK responded by smashing their transfer record for two Benfica academy wingers, while AEK’s aggressive pressing model under Matías Almeyda already looks mid-season sharp. Expect the championship to be decided on the final day, with PAOK edging it on goal difference.
Relegation candidates are clearer. Newly promoted Panserraikos and Levadiakos both finished last term with negative double-digit goal differences in the Super League 2, and neither has strengthened adequately. Meanwhile, OFI Crete’s financial dramas have spilled into the dressing room—three senior players terminated contracts in August. The smart money says the drop zone will be occupied by these three, with OFI surviving via a playoff.
Top scorer? AEK’s summer recruit from Aston Villa, Leandro Trossard on a lucrative loan, is already 4/1 with domestic bookies. Yet history shows the Golden Boot usually stays at home: PAOK’s 19-year-old wonderkid, Georgios Koutsias, netted seven times in curtailed pre-season minutes and will start every league match. If he avoids the muscular injuries that plagued him last spring, expect 22+ goals and a senior Greece call-up by March.
Bottom line: bet on PAOK for the title, OFI to stay up, and Koutsias to outscore everyone.
